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Summer 2014

America's Global Withdrawal

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For all the think tanking, gaming, and legal arguments, Israel still commits too many major diplomatic and..

Reader comment on: Israel's Qualitative Military Edge

Submitted by Steven Gilbert (United States), Dec 1, 2009 10:53

strategic mistakes with potentially fatal consequences.

Myth #1Superior Technology can save Israel

Low tech can be devastatingly...

effective, at least psychologically and prompt Israel to limited military actions w/o achieving a lasting remedy and w/negative propaganda results. It is now clear that while Israel has a technological edge, it does not have a monopoly. The inability to forsee the consequences of low tech ordance in the hands of non-state actors, ie. kassams, katyushas,

There's a nuke weapons bazaar out there.....

proliferation of advance nuclear technology and delivery systems by Iran (and maybe others in the future) via Pakistan (khan), subrosa trade with China, Russia, Germany, N. Korea and others means that arming w/nuke weapons is a simple make or buy decision.

The other guys aren't that dumb after all...

The Iranians have assembled sophisticated uranium refinement capabilities, have mastered conversion to solid fuel rocketry and greatly improved their guidance systems...all at a speed that exceeds prior intelligence projections. And all w/o detection my the major Western and Israeli intelligence services.

Too many strategic mistakes -

Ceding land w/o any quid pro quo and forfeiting a strategic buffer (S Lebannon, Gaza) that turns low tech lethal both physically and psychologically.

Defensive errors, ie. lack of adequate planning for defensive and offensive events.

Failure to believe that Sadat would attack in '73. Ffailure to secure borders resulting in the kidnapping of soldiers on the Gaza and Lebannon borders. Failure to prepare for the '86 invasion of Lebannon both in terms of strategic objectives and military strategy. Reliance on unreliable third party intermediaries, e.g. UNIFIL troops in Lebanon to disarm Hizballah (laughable).

Israel is now, as much as ever and maybe more so, dependent on the kindness of strangers, ie. the U.S. Academic think tank papers and legalistic arguments, all in effect, a bunch of Talmudic babble are a poor match for racial hatred, liberal thinking, and Palestinian propaganda. Lose the support of the U.S. and its Masada all over again.


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